When Are Home Heating Prices Expected to Go Down?

With winter weather hitting hard, homeowners in the U.S. are experiencing the problem of home heating costs. Recent years have seen a remarkable increase in energy costs, leaving many searching for answers and relief. Understand what has an impact on home heating prices, the recent trends we’ve seen and strategies to keep your utility bills in check.

Different Kinds of Home Heating Fuel

Several fuels are used to keep homes warm and cozy in the United States:

  • Natural gas heats 48% of American homes.
  • Heating oil is the fuel used in 5% of homes.
  • Propane accounts for another 5%.
  • Electricity warms 40% of U.S. homes. Fossil fuels continue to be the primary source for creating electricity despite the increase in renewable energy sources like wind and solar. 

What Factors Impact the Cost of Fossil Fuels?

Based on the above information, it’s clear that fossil fuels heat a great majority of North American households. Supply and demand is the biggest factor causing price fluctuations. An increase in supply—triggered by greater production and storage rates—usually lowers prices, while a spike in demand—brought about by extreme weather, a booming economy and rising rates for alternative fuels—can cause prices to soar.

Exactly How Much Has the Price of Natural Gas Gone Up?

Domestic natural gas production outpaced consumption starting in 2017, leading to a broad price decline through 2018. Unfortunately, demand has increased significantly recently across all sectors, causing natural gas prices to hit heights not seen in more than decade.

In 2022, the average wholesale cost of U.S. natural gas hit its highest point since 2008, reaching an average of $6.45 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). This surge represented a major leap of greater than 53% from the previous year, marking it as one of the biggest annual increases on record.

A number of factors led to the unpredictable rise and instability of natural gas prices last year. In early 2022, manufacturing hiccups caused by freeze-offs and a significant draw from natural gas reserves nudged prices upward. Robust liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports to Europe and other regions, paired with a surge in domestic demand because of cold weather, stretched the price range even further.

In the spring of 2022, prices soared past $9/MMBtu, only to drop by 40% following the fire and subsequent shutdown at the Freeport LNG export terminal. This incident considerably cut U.S. LNG exports and redirected more natural gas to storage. Unfortunately, as the summer heat faded, prices climbed yet again, hitting a high point in late August.

Moving into the fall, an increase in natural gas production and higher-than-average injections into storage saw prices fall closer to the five-year average. But, as temperatures went down, the demand for heating caused prices to rise again.

When Will Prices Cool Down?

The variations in natural gas prices highlight the intricate interplay of factors influencing home heating costs. As we look ahead to the rest of the 2023-24 heating season, the market’s past behavior offers insights into future price trends and the potential for cost-saving options.

As of late 2023, prices have fallen from their previous highs because of robust production and relatively mild temperatures. Even though demand remains steady, forecasters are predicting prices around $3.44/MMBtu this winter, offering some respite for house owners as we move through the heating season.

Tips to Reduce Your Heating Bill

Regardless of how you heat your home or what prices are like, you can take several practical steps to boost energy efficiency and lower your heating bills. Here are a few strategies:

  • Seal drafty windows and doors with caulk and weatherstripping.
  • Use curtains to your advantage, throwing them open during the day for free light and heat and then closing them in the evenings to insulate your windows.
  • Boost attic insulation to stop heat from rising out of your home.
  • Buy a smart thermostat that learns your behavior and adjusts the temperature accordingly to help reduce your energy usage.
  • Lower the temperature on your thermostat when you’re not home so you don’t pay extra to heat an empty house.
  • Don warmer clothes inside your residence so you don’t need to crank up the thermostat.
  • Schedule seasonal furnace maintenance to keep your heating system in top shape.
  • Use a whole-house humidifier. Moist air feels warmer than dry air, so you feel more comfortable at a lower temperature.

Keep Cozy and Warm in the U.S. with Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing

Nothing is more important to the Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing team than your comfort and well-being. Our services can also help lower home heating costs, which is great news for your bank account. With ACE-certified technicians at the helm, you can expect quality, long-lasting answers to all your comfort needs. Our company’s 100% satisfaction guarantee means that if you’re not completely happy with our services, you know we will make things right.

As a company that prides itself on innovation, customer engagement and community support, you can trust Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing to make a meaningful difference in your life and enjoyment of your residence. For more details of what you can expect with heating prices in the U.S. or personalized solutions to help minimize your utility bills, contact the professionals at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing. Call 866-397-3787 today to learn more.

  • Zoning Systems: Customized Comfort in Every Room

    Central heating and cooling systems have transformed home comfort and made it possible to stay perfectly comfortable in any season or climate. However, while centralized systems provide a handy way to control the temperature, they occasionally fall short when it comes to evenly distributing heated... Continue reading

  • Eight Popular Heating Myths Debunked

    There are many myths out there about home heating that lead to confusion and inefficient furnace usage. It’s time to clear up these common misconceptions. Here, the heating authorities at Service Experts Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing debunk the eight most common myths to keep your home... Continue reading

  • Eight Ways to Upgrade Your HVAC System

    During the cold winter months in the U.S., there’s no better way to increase your home’s comfort than with easy and effective upgrades. It’s not simply about keeping the house toasty warm as the snow begins to fall—it’s about maximizing efficiency and improving the very air you breathe.... Continue reading